Sunday, January 30, 2011

Review: Book sideways markets

I had the pleasure of listening to Vitaliy Katsenelson on his investment ideology with Agora financial this summer in Vancouver, speak, which introduced described as "Bottom line value based stock picker." as the Vitaliy took the stage and clarified as a "value investor, which like to communicate." I agree with me after reading his latest book, the little book of sideways markets: how to make money in markets, go nowhere (Wiley, 2011). Vitaliy does a great job on simple stories that embed complicated in the financial markets, the value lessons investing wisdom within these stories so that we can use when markets in a sector that it calculated are caught, 50% of the time.


From the perspective of a trader "Sideways Markets" real world offers advice for active traders that I can use my trading plan morning, while filling in any gaps, the technician in fundamental analysis Division may be missing. Active trader is my biggest concern among the investing book to read, what I can from this book take and use now. Whether Vitaliy will admit, he has a little active trader in it or not, it is quite obvious when you analyze the markets in the hope of an edge from future direction to win while adjusting your strategy along the Way…that is described as trade. It is really just a matter of time frame at this time.


My two favorite lessons for short-term traders in this book are brilliant in its simplicity. Vitaly golds that everyone can understand a story about a farmer named Tevye and his cow, demonstrate the concepts of value investing, margin of safety and the pitfalls of speculation. At the end of this fable was a very insightful approach that applies to invest more dynamic than he probably realized. "That's why I stopped bids on sunny days when everyone has a smile on your face." We all know to about exuberance and how it most traders in wrong time for exact suckers.


The other lesson is in the chapter which reminds Vitaliy an experience he had at a casino. It has been well documented by many similarities of professional players, that the dealer and the need to "spend more time focusing on the process, not on the result." Both need your bankroll to protect and you do that to follow that system are no matter what your feelings tell a rigid system and personal discipline. Both dealer and player know small while retaining their losses when you follow through with the big bet, to fight another day. If you play your system allow within many professions, and have a profitable edge, put the odds in your favor and be the House as long as your emotions in check are kept.


To better illustrate how exactly with the title, this book is I have a chart of the S & P since 1997 showing how it was a lot of up and down action, but have essentially we ended up right where we started. While markets, sectors and stocks continue to up and down, Vitaliy stressed that "the easiest way to combat EGW is erosion increase the required margin for stocks in your portfolio." And you do become a stock picker and analyze each individual bearing with the components of quality, rate and growth as your purchases. Only then set the chances your favor to combat the roller coaster, which has become the stock market.



If it disagrees with something inside the book I, if the author declares to sell a stock. If a stock fair reaches value, sermon V. the bearings should be sold immediately. This contradicts my trend, the trade rules, because as long as the stock later move to it would be in the best interests of a trader trailing stop type to benefit the more upside potential, the stock is to be continued later. I agree with the author, you need have emotions to your share to NULL, but it is to stay invested shares move higher, as long as your trailing stops are available in the best interest of your trading performance.


Vitaliy's latest book is quite pleasing, easy to read, and covers many different topics that ensure you to learn something new as you your way though it. I can say that to see him in person and read, Vitaliy this book has a great understanding what it takes to outwit the sideways markets where we are.



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Almost analysis

Only brief analysis:

Money flow on 1-min and 5 min charts is negative.
15 Min chart is money flow positive.
30 Min chart of neutral, yet close negatively.
Hourly charts have negative money flow.

This high volume was strong volume today on the NASDAQ 100 and DJI seen. While on daily charts this volume bearish sees (these indexes are down for the day), intraday time frames is clearly bullish.On the Russell 2000 and S - P-500 was volume level his regular - no greedy buying and selling don't panic.

Advances and sinks the most indexes still negative.

$ Met index to see tips on October 19 and 27 October 2010.

There are no nay large economic morning - reports only consumer sentiment from the Michigan University.

Overall, despite today's recovery from initial swing I'm down nor bearish.Noch, I could be wrong, would be therefore I recommend charts themselves.


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Standalone vs. consolidated results

Investors should carefully analyse the consolidated figures, before investment decisions to make. This affects all accounts and balance can be ratios.The gap between standalone and consolidated results widening.You can find a big change between the two explanations for this phenomenon.


Consolidated results include the results of all subsidiaries, joint ventures and importance associated Unternehmen.Seine is illustrated by the impact that has on the results for some companies.Consolidated report include a comprehensive view of the financial situation of a parent undertaking and its subsidiaries which allows you to measure the overall health of a whole group of contrast to companies a strong independent position.


Standalone: A standalone-balance is simple the balance sheet for one of the companies by itself.Mean It includes any kind of other subsidiaries in its results.


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Going out in style

Keep your eyes on the left lion and you will see one of the best exit performances which I've seen in a while. It's funny, how man starts to focus the camera and the audience was obviously love it.





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Saturday, January 29, 2011

Final nail in bear coffin?

I seriously doubt that we are not the bear market lows sometime in the future again, but as a merchant you have to put your prejudices aside and close trading in Now.the S & P 500 a day to 0.60% to a high new interim closed. The index is 85.4% on March 9 2009 closing low is 19.8% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. This is a new milestone for the index. It is declining bear now than the traditional 20% high 2007.

.


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Markt 6 charts show

Last week was each call for a top on the market, and it looks like Santa has given a gift to the bulls, how the markets higher drive. I'm still believe the we daily very recognizable peak before we correct.


NASDAQ looks correct yourself how to do it, it gains digest and be careful not to get it to bust.



This is every day inches closer to him back top. Not just in this market until we a red candle.



Still a stellar sector. Base based on basis.


Still in relation to "bust" (on line)


More and more bearish sees as the downward trend claims on these smaller time frames.


Techincally bullish, looks but with it is gold bearish tone will join.


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Progress and decreased

14 December 2010 21: 14 by John we had some volatility increase today. Money flow on intraday charts (15 min, 5 min, 30 min charts) is negative. Hourly charts (1 bar = 1 hour) money will always positive flow on the S and - P-500 and DJI, yet, the NASDAQ-100, Russell 2000 and S & P financial money flow is reject and very close to become negative.

Even money flow is positive on the S and - P-n of side of declining stocks is 500 DJI, progress and decline on these indexes (there are more diminishing stocks). At the same time ahead shares on the traded more active. This divergence, if there are further declining stocks but advancing stocks have larger volumes, is seen as bearish sign.

Overall, I would expect that negative trade see morning and would flow continue monitoring money in the 15 min chart.

Related posts

S & P 500 - chartAnother positive week that S & P not 500 and NASDAQ 100 - I would call it positive on the DJI. F. Page way trading indices (S and P 500, NASDAQ 100 a DJI) were almost flat an entire session. Quote from my Morni...High volumeIt looks like indexes not in the position were to keep swing's win tomorrow. I mentioned in the morning tha...

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Friday, January 28, 2011

Ho hum trade

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No lot to report as the market has a whole lot of nothing. As the market next am to find out what to do it, I notice, my scans are more bullish than finding the bearish results. This is a bullish sign.I will be so for the moment, I to build'm going a bullish watchlist, in the event that I received whipsawed out my shorts ready to go a watchlist haben.Aber let me Reiterate…. my signal continues to be a decline in show and the results that show are up nothing could really mean when you look at the big picture.


It seems like every Thanksgiving week it looking a few big winners (NFLX CRM LULU), this years Turkey can sein.Und Favorites completely money trade Bingfan I think I'll be on the daytrading pass until a stable trend with an edge presents itself.


The VIX can the bottom trend-line (you have to imagine it) bounced have and breaks up this out, one way or another, the markets to do just a whole lot of nothing.


Large volume on all of you below the only 4 shares that are on my primary scan showed up..


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S & P 500 chart

Another positive week that S & P not 500 and NASDAQ 100 - I would call it positive on the DJI.


From one side that gives everything looks like a strong up trend, from other side it signs the last up movement to contradict. Like you, on the S and - P-500 can see (^ SPX) chart below, most of the technical indicators (CSR progress decreases, MACD, stochastics, and McClellan oscillator) are bullish. Similar picture could be seen 2000 charts on NASDAQ-100(^NDX) and Russell (^ RUT). The Dow Jones industrials (^ DJI) index has slightly different picture, where most indicators show that are neutral feeling (due to the trend page ways) with tendency to negative.



As you can see the technical analysis is very bullish. So, what would keep me, long way from trading. There are several reasons why I would prefer to stay in cash and wait:


1. Volatility is strong downward. Generally low volatility associated with bullish feeling. Decline in the volatility is still also known as a market squeeze is listed before strong movements. Some technical analysis compare current volatility level (VIX level) to the volatility in April 2010 (before strong correction in May 2010). Go further back in history, can display the VIX at similar levels in the middle of January 2010 (before the correction in the end of January 2010). The next similar low VIX readings could be seen in May 2008.


(2) The last up move was quite strong for this time (financial check S & P 500 index). Taking into account that there is no strong bearish volume surges at the lower end of November correction (don't panic sell were), is powered this up movement of large institutional traders.


3. I don't like the idea of the stimulus package offered by Bernanke. (Read my post "another stimulus package")


These are some of the things that keep me long from trading. I will not last long if I don't believe that big money play long and I play short because I see no short signal to play


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UK consumers to pay more taxes than the banks

According to the Trades Union Congress - consumers in Britain are largest banks due to the upcoming changes in taxes and VAT higher tax rates compared to the countries year 2011 numbers.

4 January 2011 will increase to 20% VAT, which is now at 17.5 %.While of corporation tax % 28% 27% are reduced.


This changes in corporate income tax and VAT will benefit high-profit industries such as banking, of small and medium-sized enterprises, but it may not be so good for consumers.


http://www.Independent.co.UK/News/Business/News/Banks-Set-to-Pay-Lower-taxes-than-UK-Consumers-2169988.html


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Paradigm shift to this recovery

The following is a guest post by mobile guru.


When we last year 2010, I think, overall, most people were quite pessimistic.


All good questions and honestly, I'm not sure that we know the answers to these questions today, although I think most people feel cautiously optimistic. What has made me really late of interest is the change in some of the basic economic principles I thought until it has been with Apple Pie and motherhood. In other words, you would remain always the same.


10 Year chart of the US Dollar



The first chart I confused by the am is the price of gold. I know investors who have bullish on gold for over 20 years. Of course, only in the last few years it has really grown. It was my deep-seated theory on gold only would go if inflation was running rampant. Yet gold is around $1400 and inflation is hard to figure out if it a problem or not, but it is certainly not widespread. Even if gold goes up, which would have $, in the opposite direction are directed thought. Granted the dollar is not a shining star, but it also is not on depression and seems at the moment a little separated with the price of gold.


5 Year chart of Gold



Another area that I am more than on little confused is mortgage rates. Mortgage rates have on for a while been kept very low level, spur to the housing market which start jump would help the economy. Now, I don't think that in any way than the banks never worked has made that seemed eager really money loans, unless they had a top notch credit score. Which, of course, if you had a great loan your need for a ultra low rate result was not probably be so vital.


Lower prices have spurred always the housing market, but this time it was little noticeable influence. Go what happens now start as prices back up this year? I don't know but it seems like a real problem in my head, because I think we need a housing market recovery that trickles into the economy in many different ways.


A final area that seems to have changed is the price of oil. Once again we are headed toward $100 oil and yet nobody seems to be concerned about the effects on the economy. Keep in mind oil has only once in history were more than $100 and that was when it went up to $150 and then to delete to almost $30. The end result is higher oil price directly translated to higher gas prices at the pump. I first read this statistic.


For every penny costs which increases price at the pump, a consumers additional $4 million. The price goes up a cent means it the $40 million consumers pay every day, 10-cent hike in the place is.


10 Year chart of oil



So, although the economy will join together, which seems top price for a barrel oil continue to move. In fact, many will be surprised to see oil $120 this year. I still have questions, why oil is up and will have tremendous negative impact on the economy isn't it?


So perhaps is perhaps its impact with the majority of us life by our first depression more reach than I would have thought. Perhaps, we must rethink everything, we thought we knew. When the restore economy, even if the above three elements appear in the wrong direction are directed to is obviously time the new paradigms can start to reconsider.


I am a long time experience investor to invest in high tech, biotech and precious metals. I blog about topics of interest to me and my goal is to generate intelligent discussion. I consider myself an expert in each area, but know a little about a lot of things. I think once we stop learning, we end life. You can connect with me on sea walking Alpha .


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Thursday, January 27, 2011

Progress and decreased

14 December 2010 21: 14 by John we had some volatility increase today. Money flow on intraday charts (15 min, 5 min, 30 min charts) is negative. Hourly charts (1 bar = 1 hour) money will always positive flow on the S and - P-500 and DJI, yet, the NASDAQ-100, Russell 2000 and S & P financial money flow is reject and very close to become negative.

Even money flow is positive on the S and - P-n of side of declining stocks is 500 DJI, progress and decline on these indexes (there are more diminishing stocks). At the same time ahead shares on the traded more active. This divergence, if there are further declining stocks but advancing stocks have larger volumes, is seen as bearish sign.

Overall, I would expect that negative trade see morning and would flow continue monitoring money in the 15 min chart.

Related posts

S & P 500 - chartAnother positive week that S & P not 500 and NASDAQ 100 - I would call it positive on the DJI. F. Page way trading indices (S and P 500, NASDAQ 100 a DJI) were almost flat an entire session. Quote from my Morni...High volumeIt looks like indexes not in the position were to keep swing's win tomorrow. I mentioned in the morning tha...

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Nikkei attempt a long term bottom

If the Japanese economy in conversation grew is usually a general agreement that their economy is decades away from improving. Some believe it will never improve to standard and go. John Mauldin describes them as



"a bug in search of a windscreen".


It can slightly bearish Japan, to stay, as their economy plug peak has problems since it is in 1989, but their are some subtle signs that could be tempted Japan to put in some sort of down be. As market technician, I am less concerned about what IFS as I am with what is. And if you aside your demographic problem with an ageing population, stagnant growth prospects and currency issues, I would like to present I see Japan has become for you a positive side.


Their long-term technical picture is suggesting that long-term below tries in set. I have 2 charts below that better demonstrates this point. The first is a simple monthly 20-diagram yr to show the broad base and support area around the 7500 area. We were actually a little under support, but I as a light show, positive, because the graph was able, rebound, where it could easily have continued to new lows. As I said Before…there are enough to go where is Japan bears.


We have seen this action before from 93' 99' 14 k was a support area for a long time and finally broke it. But as you can see from this period that sideways markets make some decent buying opportunities. So, even if this is not the bottom is, it is an opportunity for this back to the area 15-17 k trade.



A floor has somewhere begin, and from which all predictions and forecasts I am reading for 2011, nobody is targeting Japan as an area of potential future growth. From point of view of the pure contrarian who interested me something, and if you, psychology combine with these charts, could you start to see where I'm from.


The key to the take on this time frame 5 month we didnt a traditional double bottom in November form, how ran the bears out of gas. The market then restored 2 months of consolidation in five trading sessions, stopped, and in the process of establishing a new up-leg. As long as it remains above, that "new support" named below and can build there is a change to do something positive for a change some success which has Nikkei.





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Back to progress and decreases

Today, readings on during the trading hours (see "high advance/decline readings post") on extremely high ahead decline in the S and - P-500 and NYSE indexes mentioned. The indexes fact not moved more later to quite heavily to win still had. The interesting thing is that even indexes had strong profit by the end of the day reported the advance/decline readings were no longer strong bullish on the market close. Progress crowned declines on NYSE by a margin of 3 to 1 only. During the session trading volume of promotion of stocks in the S and - P-500 sector 40 times greater than the volume was rejected stocks, is then by the end of the day 8: 1 ratio.

Overall, we had today strong bullish trading only during the first hour after the opening bell. The rest of today's trading session indexes moved mostly side ways and even slightly decreased. Because of the many technical indicators to 5 min and 15 min charts weak opening hit this page means action tomorrow.Some technical indicators in 30 min and hourly charts followed up move tomorrow and the longer-term charts bullish.Dennoch turned be bearish remain.


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5 Really strong charts

I'm not sure how HIBB on my scans (click to see results) are the other day, but it is one of the best looking diagrams in the sports clothing sector (UA looks well) .all these are short-term overbought, but all are final candidates for future rock stars, if you believe that strength shows strength.


One of my favorite charts out there NOG…. the 2 yr weekly is a thing of beauty.


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Wednesday, January 26, 2011

The wisdom of Paul Tudor Jones

Here are some notable quotes from the 80's (Yes 80's) PBS special "dealer", highlighting, Paul Tudor Jones and his partner Peter borish's trading strategies. I would like to thank Rodrigo for sending me this special, as I was not familiar with Jone's career. Even after a decade in business, you can learn one's craft from successful traders hoping tuning to keep.


What I found refreshing about Jones is its commitment to help underprivileged high school students and its commitment to pay as long as you finished high school for your college education. And more importantly, the issue of his time to intervene every week in your life.



"If life ever ceases to be an educational experience I would probably out be get out of bed."


When the headlines are extremely negative day after day and the market refuses to go, it is "tells a different story than what the headlines are." If the markets sell in the morning and afternoon bought, it is a sign of whole accumulation.


"After a while size means nothing." There will again be on whether you're making 100% yield of 10 k or $100 million. "It makes no difference."


"Trading requires an energy level, and it is very difficult to get it 24 hours a day, which is what requires." "To do the work law requires such an enormous concentration, you able to find To…it's physical and emotional mandatory to relax some time, and got, have to disable it like that."


"The whole world is nothing more than a flow chart for capital just."


"Where you want to be always trade is never want always in the control, and always, first and foremost protect your butt." That's why most people lose money than individual investors or as traders because you not focusing on losing money, you have on the money you may have. How much capital is at risk in each individual investment you have.  "If everyone on 90% who spent rather than 90% of their time pie in the sky make ideas about how much money will it, then you incredibly successful investors would be."


On losing money and still "you will 100% payable interest me."


"Incumbent with a man on this earth is and has some kind of awareness for the rest of the folks out there to be that you need help, as I needed help 11 years ago." "All I do is payment back, and back, which I do the numbers is one that everyone owes it's only a question of whether people accept responsibility."


"I have ten children in the back of the car just yell out." "Which means that as long as I am that I am scared to death."


"There's nothing but air about this thing."


On picking a money manager wants "I which do not go the guy to panic, be not too emotionally involved, but which too hurt when he loses and if he wins he goes to a quiet confidence."


~ Quotes from Paul Tudor Jones




The market is simply a reflection of the people's behaviors and people tend to the same under similar circumstances behavior, "then history of market prices can give us a hint of what may happen in the near future."


"If it looks like a duck, acts like a duck and it sounds like a duck, it's probably no chicken."


Dynamics "you do not stop a train with also, there is a wall, a wall of the sale, the train by the brick wall and take a lot of bears."


After record highs on the indices are made, "people will sell, is the trade with easy to sell." When is a municipality in new high ground it has never been there and increased so high and so fast, well..."I want to sell it."


At risk can not "I sleep if I can't sleep."


~ Quotes from his partner at the time of the documentary, Peter borish



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Morning message

20 December 2010 11: 14 by John the U.S. dollar and U.S. indexes are down. The same as before I continue 5 min and 15 min charts to stay. So far, money flow in 15 min chart is declining. It's negative 5-min chart a good, but it is moved and is close to the positive.

Volume below is how it usually during the Christmas season.


Related posts

Are the indexes keep the gainNow the main question is whether indexes able tomorrow to keep swing's profit will be...Dollar up - shares downStrong up-move n $ pushed that overbought stocks in sharp decline.High volumeIt looks like indexes not in the position were to keep swing's win tomorrow. I mentioned in the morning tha...

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To the trademarked words and symbols used for information purposes in this blog market stock market to describe behaviors and conditions or other camps related topics. The blog posts are associated with a trade mark proprietor and represent any organization, person and or product, each proprietor assigned.


The quotes, charts and technical analysis data on this blog are shown for informational purposes only. For real time charts and quotes, it could be recommended to visit stock market data provider directly.


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FOMC rate decision and political games

Few trading sessions negative money we first heard about the last on all intraday charts except the hourly flow charts, where the money flow, yet still positive is is trending towards negative.

Anther interesting point is that today, one of the rare trading sessions we that, if the indexes not advanced in the response to the U.S. dollar drop. Decline in the US dollar index could fuel for bullish feeling on the stock exchange, especial be considered taking into account that in the last 4 month S & P-500-trend closely against the U.S. dollar is trend index. Fact that stock market US dollar decline to higher uses move is actually a bearish sign.

Overall technical analysis, prospective looks picture not positive trade tomorrow.

I'll continue to 15 - and 30-min chart but I would just 5 min chart as keep also in mind. If we increase in volatility, this diagram could be handy.

Tomorrow we have FOMC meeting on rate decision. Such events are common, supported by high volatility and fluctuations in both directions. Pair of last FOMC meetings (minutes) followed bullish feeling for a multiple trading days. However, it is difficult for me now, the same is expected if Bernanke some positive positive announcement again... In think, I, we some negative notice can get. A few days ago, the President used ex President put pressure on the tax cut bill passed. Before we had again recession, completion of the White House economist on a way to double dip with a purpose to pressure to pass on the tax cut Bill. I would be surprised if tomorrow, President Bernanke, used to create additional pressure... (I hate when the economy and stock market in political games).


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Quiet trading

21 December 2010 10: 15 by John money flow remain positive on all intraday time frames. Volatility is down as well as a positive sign. Traditionally low trade during the Christmas season and lack of economic reports would suggest quiet trading for today's meeting.

Related posts

Positive tradingWe have another day page way trade? The market is susceptibility you move lower, but money Flo...Page way tradingThe indexes (S and P 500, NASDAQ 100 a DJI) were almost flat an entire session. Quote from my Morni...Brief market OutlookShort stock market Outlook based on the index charts for tomorrow trade.

This is non-commercial blog. Advertising you can see on this blog only cover the cost required is set to keep this blog alive. This blog authors are not linked with product and or services that may be announced.


To the trademarked words and symbols used for information purposes in this blog market stock market to describe behaviors and conditions or other camps related topics. The blog posts are associated with a trade mark proprietor and represent any organization, person and or product, each proprietor assigned.


The quotes, charts and technical analysis data on this blog are shown for informational purposes only. For real time charts and quotes, it could be recommended to visit stock market data provider directly.


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Tuesday, January 25, 2011

S & P 500 index

19 December 2010 18: 42 by John

Was the last week has brought us some decline in the first half of the week with recovery at the end of the week. We can check that the S and - P-500 has defined the 1% page way trading range in Wgich moved in this area in the last 5 trading session.  A conservative trader can wait if S & P-500 outside of this corridor is traded and stay in cash until then.


Stay in the meantime many technical indicators to be bullish and neutral (see the S and P 500 hourly chart below). It could see how the indexes up beat (that is, why move page ways) and we can see a correction. Still, volatility is down and it could be considered as one of the strongest points against a correction.


The U.S. dollar index was in page way action via the PAS downloads and. When it began its up move in the continued beginning November 2010 it can create a bearish pressure on the stock exchange and I would keep an eye on you as well.


Related posts

S and P 500In my previous post "longer term Outlook", I have expressed my perspective on the longer-term trend. S & P 500 - chart A more positive week that S & P not 500 and NASDAQ 100 - I would call positive on the DJI F.. F. S & P 500 last week of the year, most likely be low volume and low volatility - as the previous two weeks...

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To the trademarked words and symbols used for information purposes in this blog market stock market to describe behaviors and conditions or other camps related topics. The blog posts are associated with a trade mark proprietor and represent any organization, person and or product, each proprietor assigned.


The quotes, charts and technical analysis data on this blog are shown for informational purposes only. For real time charts and quotes, it could be recommended to visit stock market data provider directly.


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Start the bearish market? or only short-term correction?

We had this decline in the first week since the beginning of September. There no sharp decrease, and this decline was generated don't panic (we saw no strong volume surges on the price). However, this decline has pushed closer many technical indicators on bearish sentiment in the longer-term charts (1 bar = 1 day and more time frames).

Small time frame of charts on the other hand have some bullish signals. Those on 15-min and 30 min charts I money flow can see trending towards positive. Yet, this time frame are short-term and you can not generate signals over morning open. This chart, I can say that there are some odds we see can positive trade morning. Big bearish volume surges on the NASDAQ 100 on November 11-12, 2010 can ability bounce and to show.Was again the NASDAQ 100 index of only index with strong bearish volume during the last two trading Session.Daher I'd leave not strong now at the NASDAQ 100.

As I have already mentioned, 1 day and negative mood move towards longer-term charts. hourly charts are bearish. This is another reason why positive signals in the intraday charts should be considered strong signals.

Tomorrow I just 15 min, 30 min, hourly charts will monitor I save that would index signals follow in 15 minutes and 30 minutes charts and we see up-move hot money flow affect on hourly charts.I think $ worth index attention as auch.Wenn is upwards and October 19 and 27 heights breaks, then the sale on the stock exchange could generate it another wave.

Keep in mind that last week we some increase in volatility sehen.Wenn we further increase in volatility see where it can mean the current movement down could be in a strong correction grown.


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Merry Christmas

I just wanted to wish everyone a happy firmly and thank you all, my little corner of the Web page often. Zentrader would not what it is without your continued support and interaction here. I appreciate you all and just wanted to say thank you.


Here is for all of us with a wealthy 2011!



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Monday, January 24, 2011

Short note

17 December 2010 09: 35 by John yesterday, stock exchange moved higher, overbought pressure continues but the. Money is so far still positive flow on intraday time frames. I will also remain 5-min time frame on 15 min chart with advice.

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Brief technical analysisBullish lagging indicators, extremely high advance/decline sentiment readings, high volatility all o...Brief market OutlookShort stock market Outlook based on the index charts for tomorrow trade.Page way trend on indicesLast week was (Thanksgiving short week, had three full trading sessions and a trading ses short...)

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Bid-to-cover ratio

Bid-to-cover ratio: It can be understood as a relationship that received bids a Treasury security auction bids compares accepted. It is generally used for measuring the demand at bond auctions.A ratio above 2.0 a successful auction with aggressive bids indicating the higher the ratio is more the demand and the low means lower demand.


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Is it Begingn of a correction?

16 December 2010 09: 18 by John money flow continues to negatively on the 5 min, 15 min and 30 min charts another negative session can propose. Money flow on hourly charts is on its way as negative. The good thing is that all main indexes (S & P500, DJI, NASDAQ 100 and Russell 2000) have similar picture and similar impression on the charts. It's not how it multiple session before felt - an index bearish signals and other show bullish (Russell 2000 and NASDAQ 100 were moving up during S & P-500 and DJI were flat or down) show.

I will continue to remain in 15 min charts with my eye on 5 min charts.

Related posts

Page way trend on indicesLast week was (Thanksgiving short week, had three full trading sessions and a trading ses short...)S & P 500 - chartAnother positive week that S & P not 500 and NASDAQ 100 - I would call it positive on the DJI. F. Money flow for tomorrow.High volatility, high volume and we are again seen the resistance in early November. Th...

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FOMC minutes

The Nasdaq100 have managed to push higher indexes. However, were the major indexes (S & P-500 and DJI) in negative territory.

Because the afternoon recovery, many technical indicators suggest possibility of further recovery. However, I would prefer to wait.The indexes are same above beat third time (last three trading days) - we had can display down and we third have. Furthermore, two bounces to the longer-term charts bearish sentiment.

Tomorrow, we have FOMC minutes and we can expect that simple strategy could be higher Volatilität.Die trend development after the statements are recommended to wait the end of the session to see.


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Sunday, January 23, 2011

NASDAQ OMX Group Inc. To in the Japanese stock market get

NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc., which operates the NASDAQ stock market in United States, is expected to create in Japan a new stock market to 2012 return, Osaka Securities Exchange will be giving support in this set up.


This is not the first time, NASDAQ is entered 2000 NASDAQ Japan market in the Japanese market in the year, retired but two years later as a result of the cumulative losses.For attracts investors NASDAQ OSE market investors shares will allow during the night and in small-scale trade.


Shares of New York NASDAQ had little reaction to the news to open fall 0.05% to $23.93 Tuesday ahead. The company has more than 20% collected in 2010.


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Money flow and NASDAQ 100

The EMINI index futures hold positive ground overnight not and we had confirmed negative opening once again that the stock market is very unstable. Then the NASDAQ 100 pushed the indexes 7% hike, driven by Netflix. Still, it looks about as the euphoria is and the market in its normal stream is back.

The money flow is still positive on the 15 - and 30 min charts.However, it already to negative 15 min chart moves, and there are good chances, 30 min money flow towards bears and trending tasks.When this is the case we are looking for could be negative trade today.

The U.S. dollar index is, and it can help the bears.


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Oil breakout on 60 min chart

USO is slow momentum WINS, and it starts with the 60 minute chart. Below are two different diagrams with both use the 60 minute and I did this on purpose to to show two different outbreaks.


The 45 day graph shows that we have broken from a narrow range of consolidation is very bullish short term. This is confirmed by the RSI and USO to pull back of the RSI on the 40 level can be purchased as long as we can stay on the top line of the box.



I chose to extend the time frame out to show just how this recent breakout is bullish, if you look at the Cup and handle diagram which had formed. It shows also how important that is $38, 40 level in the big picture.  What will probably happen a few days of gains followed by a quiet retracement is again around $38.50. I think if the 2-3 day pullback occurs it will be flat and short.



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Saturday, January 22, 2011

Slow decline

Slowly but surely the indexes are in decline. If you look at DJI daily chart we can say the DJI index in slow decline for five was trading session in a row. This decline is still so slow that only now DJI has blotted out all a day gain has it on November 4, 2010. S & P-500 is still on his October levels. This why no increase in volume on that index does today's decline may generate

The NASDAQ-100 is still reliable - NASDAQ 100 trading volume is higher than the usual volume on gehandelt.jedoch all indexes, we see no volume span (sudden increase in the volume) would suggest that so far this decline created don't panic (no stop losses are affected).

Money is so far flow on all time frames negativ.Ich am just 5 min and 15 min Charts.Wir can see, some bounce up or page through trade during the present session until the end of the day I the indexes think that down.


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What camp is the most reliable profit maker in day trading?


One of my friend asked me, him to beat some of the profit of the most reliable and consistent make stocks well I refused to call everyone but I'll give it a simple advice, the patients stay and learn things.

If you really want to make money, be patient! generally investors come very quickly think creating wealth in the stock markets, are exposed as markets are volatile, short term high risks and can move in both directions.So I should not go for shares

Equity market is risky, but it is also true that equity asset class better performance in the long run. However, the most investors way of it.These investors in General, when the bull market reaches its peak gave poor understanding and misinformation about the markets. A growing market attracts money that would have come to the next. Investor confidence rises and begin to believe that markets can not fall. Increasing trust starts to bring short-term money markets, as investors suffer from the illusion of control. And when the cycle turns, most affected investors short horizons and Monetary Union.


Regular investment offers better returns on investments in the long can term.For example, a few times a month, lose in a year in the long run, say you could up at the end of doing much of the profit in relation to the amount you invested platform.


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Short trading week

The past week could be by characterized by sharp decline in the market be opened during the first half of the trading session on November 15, 2010 and by strong progress during the first 30 minutes after on November 18, 2010. The rest of the time we had page through trade. Until the close of trading on Friday the indexes were (NASDAQ 100 and S - P-500 and DJI) just a little bit below their Monday's opening levels.

As I already on Thursday (see mentioned 2010 post 18, "Advance/Decline" in November), despite the strong ahead on this day will still indicate the longer-term charts (based on the daily bars) bearish sentiment. On the other hand, intraday time frame (with the exception of the hourly charts) have some bullish signals. Consider money flow 15 - and 30 min charts refers to the possibility of positive opening tomorrow.The index futures and EMINI index futures are traded more than bis.Wenn to half a percent on the same level night we face strong swing on the open market, up.

The week ahead range on economic Berichte.Die is only thing that can drive stock exchange in volatile trade not much FOMC minutes is on Tuesday, November 23, 2010 around 2 pm. In addition is no trading on November 26, and there is a short trading session on November 27.

There are a lot of attention has approximately $ last month was.S & P-500-index was highly correlated with $ index.We will most likely continue, the chances of the stronger beat this dependency to sehen.Ja that strongly overbought levels on the longer-term charts show indexes and many technical indicators including money flow that we correct hatte.Wenn US dollar rise continue as it went up against two week then the indexes decrease tiefer.Noch most likely, if the FED push US dollar lower, we may see again seen indexes to their high level in early November.


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Coffee, charts, and macro news


Slope Ahead-..."Mean reversion and trend-following are engaged in the fight" ~ D. Hernquist

If u want too long for u to a rally here want to see. @ Now do it WwwstockrakeIf didn't know — "The housing data is terrible" - speaks, elasticity of demand mtg will be never and ever lower prices.@ HedgeyeMost traders make the error, try to be active every day.Use your time to wait for the best pair shares eingeben.sehr be selective @ DanzangerBailouts deliver not @ MisstradeIf found this collection useful and interesting, don't forget to tweet and love that Facebook awareness to your networks with teilen.Betrachten you it as a way to my movement around the Web…thx to help content.

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Friday, January 21, 2011

NASDAQ 100 versus S and P 500

It was very negative open. We have not seen panned as below on the market open for a while. However, the indexes are moving up. However, you are on high volume move up. High volume could be seen on the NASDAQ 100 and DJI indexes. S & P-500-index's volume is only a little higher. Russell 2000 volume is normal. High volume tells that on the morning's hit sing after sensitive level down and many traders in the fields of NASDAQ 100 and DJI started to sell. Large number of traders started on the other hand, buy, pushing these indexes.

I would not think that this recovery long, will be mainly, because I not high volume S & - P-500 and Russell 2000 indices see and I don't think that the bullish traders on the NASDAQ 100 able will be to keep the entire market.


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Sentiment readings to extreme

It is one thing if a certain hits read an atmosphere extreme, be it a 2 months or 6 months. It is however completely different if about historical extreme (24 talk), a start should be extremely careful when readings like this triggered.This week surveys of bullish feeling of investors intelligence (II) and the American Association of individual investors (AAII) showed the ninth highest are combined since 1987 read and it was the sixth period ever, where the combined reading about 120%.  Not just provide a place where the holiday spirit is the equity market.

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Why gold could case up to $900-(video)

Video where I discuss the possibility of a deeper correction in the United States, markets with different time frame and chart patterns. Toronto looks good, unless it wants gold decides to stop, defy the laws of gravity.I show a graph that suggests, 35% next year have a haircut gold. I for one would love the opportunity to load up.


Hope everyone has a great weekend and are looking for a lot of chop next week with Thanksgiving.Black should be interesting to see Friday if people spend.


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Crowded boat syndrome

I was going to touch on this topic in my Wkd Video…but here is a Vorschau.Im reason I'll keep to until my system will kehrt.Ich my long watchlists prepare in the event that it reverse (it happened right before the flash crash - short, got whipsawed, was again short and was short during the flash crash).


I with some names and my warnings Ready…but do remember that if a trend in the process of change is always how it look will change be ready (to get many from shaken fake out, stay too long with the previous trend).


While I am a trader at short notice, I'm practicing, never shaken from each rotation (which is easier said than done).


Their stop loss is a reflection of your personality and Risikobereitschaft.Es cannot be where mine is, but for those who are my e-Mail campaign to subscribe (it's free) first, if my system noticed ändert.Allgemeine readers while the market (after hours) something is delay (after all markets are closed) .i would like to have actionable information those serious reader of the site.


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Thursday, January 20, 2011

Market analysis

13 December 2010 10: 30 by John US dollar are down, indexes. However, $ is about 0.7% index down, while S & - P-500 only 0.3% up. Typically could we see situation over the past few months – response to USD more drop indexes.

So far, money flow remaining positive on all intraday charts. I will be in 15 min and 30 min charts, how it looks like you fit on the current volatility.

This is non-commercial blog. Advertising you can see on this blog only cover the cost required is set to keep this blog alive. This blog authors are not linked with product and or services that may be announced.

To the trademarked words and symbols used for information purposes in this blog market stock market to describe behaviors and conditions or other camps related topics. The blog posts are associated with a trade mark proprietor and represent any organization, person and or product, each proprietor assigned.

The quotes, charts and technical analysis data on this blog are shown for informational purposes only. For real time charts and quotes, it could be recommended to visit stock market data provider directly.

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BRC survey - 2011 may not great for UK retailers

Almost two-thirds of retailers sales expect next year compared to 2010 will decline, such as weak consumer confidence and inflationary pressures is borne according to a survey by the British Retail Consortium.


BRC survey said almost two thirds of retailers contacted had expected that sales from 2010 to worsen, and many are free for impact consumer spending expected next year VAT increase (value added tax).


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Volume and $

Only in addition to the previous post.

Two other points not very bullish: the current rally is supported by strong volume surges and actually is $ readings steigen.zusammen with extremely high advance/decline and rise in volatility looks this not very good.

I'm wiederholen.Ich again rally to play not to.


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Sensex ends at the 20156.89, below by 432.20, Nifty down 122,60 points

Foreign investors sold on fears that China may adopt supervisory measures to control the rising inflation. More than 5% Shanghai Seng, Jakarta, Nikkei, Straits Times and signed Taiwan, fell 1-2% today, followed by the slope. While the European markets 1 - 2% decreased. Dow Jones and NASDAQ futures fell almost 1%.

Spot Gold fell more than 2% on a session low of US $1,378.00 an ounce and totalled $1,382.95 an ounce 0823 GMT against US $1,409.39 an ounce late in New York on Thursday.

Some of the companies share fell more than others, worst performers of the day were

CHG Scrip company code group LTP CHG %
532670 Shree Renuka Sug A 91, 30-12.45-12.00
532696 Educomp Sol A 512.60-46.05-8.24
513599 Hindustan COPP A 407.20-33.95-7.70
500186 Hindustan oil A 255.30-20.05-7.28
500877 Apollo tyres A 65.45-4.90-6.97
500469 Federal Bank A 438.55-28.05-6.01
507878 UniTech A 81.45-5.10-5.89
500477 Ashok Leyland A 74.40-4.55-5.76
532401 Vijaya Bank A 104, 60-6.30-5.68
500134 Essar oil A 140.95-8.40-5.62
532868 DLF A 327.55-18.90-5.46
532832 In India's real EST A 195.25-10.75-5.22
532659 IDFC A 190.55-10.45-5.20


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