Thursday, January 27, 2011

Nikkei attempt a long term bottom

If the Japanese economy in conversation grew is usually a general agreement that their economy is decades away from improving. Some believe it will never improve to standard and go. John Mauldin describes them as



"a bug in search of a windscreen".


It can slightly bearish Japan, to stay, as their economy plug peak has problems since it is in 1989, but their are some subtle signs that could be tempted Japan to put in some sort of down be. As market technician, I am less concerned about what IFS as I am with what is. And if you aside your demographic problem with an ageing population, stagnant growth prospects and currency issues, I would like to present I see Japan has become for you a positive side.


Their long-term technical picture is suggesting that long-term below tries in set. I have 2 charts below that better demonstrates this point. The first is a simple monthly 20-diagram yr to show the broad base and support area around the 7500 area. We were actually a little under support, but I as a light show, positive, because the graph was able, rebound, where it could easily have continued to new lows. As I said Before…there are enough to go where is Japan bears.


We have seen this action before from 93' 99' 14 k was a support area for a long time and finally broke it. But as you can see from this period that sideways markets make some decent buying opportunities. So, even if this is not the bottom is, it is an opportunity for this back to the area 15-17 k trade.



A floor has somewhere begin, and from which all predictions and forecasts I am reading for 2011, nobody is targeting Japan as an area of potential future growth. From point of view of the pure contrarian who interested me something, and if you, psychology combine with these charts, could you start to see where I'm from.


The key to the take on this time frame 5 month we didnt a traditional double bottom in November form, how ran the bears out of gas. The market then restored 2 months of consolidation in five trading sessions, stopped, and in the process of establishing a new up-leg. As long as it remains above, that "new support" named below and can build there is a change to do something positive for a change some success which has Nikkei.





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