Ho hum trade

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No lot to report as the market has a whole lot of nothing. As the market next am to find out what to do it, I notice, my scans are more bullish than finding the bearish results. This is a bullish sign.I will be so for the moment, I to build'm going a bullish watchlist, in the event that I received whipsawed out my shorts ready to go a watchlist haben.Aber let me Reiterate…. my signal continues to be a decline in show and the results that show are up nothing could really mean when you look at the big picture.

It seems like every Thanksgiving week it looking a few big winners (NFLX CRM LULU), this years Turkey can sein.Und Favorites completely money trade Bingfan I think I'll be on the daytrading pass until a stable trend with an edge presents itself.

The VIX can the bottom trend-line (you have to imagine it) bounced have and breaks up this out, one way or another, the markets to do just a whole lot of nothing.

Large volume on all of you below the only 4 shares that are on my primary scan showed up..

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S & P 500 chart

Another positive week that S & P not 500 and NASDAQ 100 - I would call it positive on the DJI.

From one side that gives everything looks like a strong up trend, from other side it signs the last up movement to contradict. Like you, on the S and - P-500 can see (^ SPX) chart below, most of the technical indicators (CSR progress decreases, MACD, stochastics, and McClellan oscillator) are bullish. Similar picture could be seen 2000 charts on NASDAQ-100(^NDX) and Russell (^ RUT). The Dow Jones industrials (^ DJI) index has slightly different picture, where most indicators show that are neutral feeling (due to the trend page ways) with tendency to negative.

As you can see the technical analysis is very bullish. So, what would keep me, long way from trading. There are several reasons why I would prefer to stay in cash and wait:

1. Volatility is strong downward. Generally low volatility associated with bullish feeling. Decline in the volatility is still also known as a market squeeze is listed before strong movements. Some technical analysis compare current volatility level (VIX level) to the volatility in April 2010 (before strong correction in May 2010). Go further back in history, can display the VIX at similar levels in the middle of January 2010 (before the correction in the end of January 2010). The next similar low VIX readings could be seen in May 2008.

(2) The last up move was quite strong for this time (financial check S & P 500 index). Taking into account that there is no strong bearish volume surges at the lower end of November correction (don't panic sell were), is powered this up movement of large institutional traders.

3. I don't like the idea of the stimulus package offered by Bernanke. (Read my post "another stimulus package")

These are some of the things that keep me long from trading. I will not last long if I don't believe that big money play long and I play short because I see no short signal to play

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UK consumers to pay more taxes than the banks

According to the Trades Union Congress - consumers in Britain are largest banks due to the upcoming changes in taxes and VAT higher tax rates compared to the countries year 2011 numbers.

4 January 2011 will increase to 20% VAT, which is now at 17.5 %.While of corporation tax % 28% 27% are reduced.

This changes in corporate income tax and VAT will benefit high-profit industries such as banking, of small and medium-sized enterprises, but it may not be so good for consumers.

http://www.Independent.co.UK/News/Business/News/Banks-Set-to-Pay-Lower-taxes-than-UK-Consumers-2169988.html

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Paradigm shift to this recovery

The following is a guest post by mobile guru.

When we last year 2010, I think, overall, most people were quite pessimistic.

All good questions and honestly, I'm not sure that we know the answers to these questions today, although I think most people feel cautiously optimistic. What has made me really late of interest is the change in some of the basic economic principles I thought until it has been with Apple Pie and motherhood. In other words, you would remain always the same.

10 Year chart of the US Dollar

The first chart I confused by the am is the price of gold. I know investors who have bullish on gold for over 20 years. Of course, only in the last few years it has really grown. It was my deep-seated theory on gold only would go if inflation was running rampant. Yet gold is around $1400 and inflation is hard to figure out if it a problem or not, but it is certainly not widespread. Even if gold goes up, which would have $, in the opposite direction are directed thought. Granted the dollar is not a shining star, but it also is not on depression and seems at the moment a little separated with the price of gold.

5 Year chart of Gold

Another area that I am more than on little confused is mortgage rates. Mortgage rates have on for a while been kept very low level, spur to the housing market which start jump would help the economy. Now, I don't think that in any way than the banks never worked has made that seemed eager really money loans, unless they had a top notch credit score. Which, of course, if you had a great loan your need for a ultra low rate result was not probably be so vital.

Lower prices have spurred always the housing market, but this time it was little noticeable influence. Go what happens now start as prices back up this year? I don't know but it seems like a real problem in my head, because I think we need a housing market recovery that trickles into the economy in many different ways.

A final area that seems to have changed is the price of oil. Once again we are headed toward $100 oil and yet nobody seems to be concerned about the effects on the economy. Keep in mind oil has only once in history were more than $100 and that was when it went up to $150 and then to delete to almost $30. The end result is higher oil price directly translated to higher gas prices at the pump. I first read this statistic.

For every penny costs which increases price at the pump, a consumers additional $4 million. The price goes up a cent means it the $40 million consumers pay every day, 10-cent hike in the place is.

10 Year chart of oil

So, although the economy will join together, which seems top price for a barrel oil continue to move. In fact, many will be surprised to see oil $120 this year. I still have questions, why oil is up and will have tremendous negative impact on the economy isn't it?

So perhaps is perhaps its impact with the majority of us life by our first depression more reach than I would have thought. Perhaps, we must rethink everything, we thought we knew. When the restore economy, even if the above three elements appear in the wrong direction are directed to is obviously time the new paradigms can start to reconsider.

I am a long time experience investor to invest in high tech, biotech and precious metals. I blog about topics of interest to me and my goal is to generate intelligent discussion. I consider myself an expert in each area, but know a little about a lot of things. I think once we stop learning, we end life. You can connect with me on sea walking Alpha .

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Progress and decreased

14 December 2010 21: 14 by John we had some volatility increase today. Money flow on intraday charts (15 min, 5 min, 30 min charts) is negative. Hourly charts (1 bar = 1 hour) money will always positive flow on the S and - P-500 and DJI, yet, the NASDAQ-100, Russell 2000 and S & P financial money flow is reject and very close to become negative.

Even money flow is positive on the S and - P-n of side of declining stocks is 500 DJI, progress and decline on these indexes (there are more diminishing stocks). At the same time ahead shares on the traded more active. This divergence, if there are further declining stocks but advancing stocks have larger volumes, is seen as bearish sign.

Overall, I would expect that negative trade see morning and would flow continue monitoring money in the 15 min chart.

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S & P 500 - chartAnother positive week that S & P not 500 and NASDAQ 100 - I would call it positive on the DJI. F. Page way trading indices (S and P 500, NASDAQ 100 a DJI) were almost flat an entire session. Quote from my Morni...High volumeIt looks like indexes not in the position were to keep swing's win tomorrow. I mentioned in the morning tha...

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Nikkei attempt a long term bottom

If the Japanese economy in conversation grew is usually a general agreement that their economy is decades away from improving. Some believe it will never improve to standard and go. John Mauldin describes them as

"a bug in search of a windscreen".

It can slightly bearish Japan, to stay, as their economy plug peak has problems since it is in 1989, but their are some subtle signs that could be tempted Japan to put in some sort of down be. As market technician, I am less concerned about what IFS as I am with what is. And if you aside your demographic problem with an ageing population, stagnant growth prospects and currency issues, I would like to present I see Japan has become for you a positive side.

Their long-term technical picture is suggesting that long-term below tries in set. I have 2 charts below that better demonstrates this point. The first is a simple monthly 20-diagram yr to show the broad base and support area around the 7500 area. We were actually a little under support, but I as a light show, positive, because the graph was able, rebound, where it could easily have continued to new lows. As I said Before…there are enough to go where is Japan bears.

We have seen this action before from 93' 99' 14 k was a support area for a long time and finally broke it. But as you can see from this period that sideways markets make some decent buying opportunities. So, even if this is not the bottom is, it is an opportunity for this back to the area 15-17 k trade.

A floor has somewhere begin, and from which all predictions and forecasts I am reading for 2011, nobody is targeting Japan as an area of potential future growth. From point of view of the pure contrarian who interested me something, and if you, psychology combine with these charts, could you start to see where I'm from.

The key to the take on this time frame 5 month we didnt a traditional double bottom in November form, how ran the bears out of gas. The market then restored 2 months of consolidation in five trading sessions, stopped, and in the process of establishing a new up-leg. As long as it remains above, that "new support" named below and can build there is a change to do something positive for a change some success which has Nikkei.

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Back to progress and decreases

Today, readings on during the trading hours (see "high advance/decline readings post") on extremely high ahead decline in the S and - P-500 and NYSE indexes mentioned. The indexes fact not moved more later to quite heavily to win still had. The interesting thing is that even indexes had strong profit by the end of the day reported the advance/decline readings were no longer strong bullish on the market close. Progress crowned declines on NYSE by a margin of 3 to 1 only. During the session trading volume of promotion of stocks in the S and - P-500 sector 40 times greater than the volume was rejected stocks, is then by the end of the day 8: 1 ratio.

Overall, we had today strong bullish trading only during the first hour after the opening bell. The rest of today's trading session indexes moved mostly side ways and even slightly decreased. Because of the many technical indicators to 5 min and 15 min charts weak opening hit this page means action tomorrow.Some technical indicators in 30 min and hourly charts followed up move tomorrow and the longer-term charts bullish.Dennoch turned be bearish remain.

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